| Peer-Reviewed

Competitive Risk Analysis of Thymic Carcinoma Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database

Received: 19 April 2023    Accepted: 15 May 2023    Published: 24 May 2023
Views:       Downloads:
Abstract

In general, we use the classical Cox proportional hazards model to derive factors that affect the prediction of patients diagnosed with thymic carcinoma (TC); however, when competing risks exist, the results can be biased. This study aimed to build a competing risk model for patients with TC to explore a more accurate method for assessing the relevant factors affecting patient prognosis. We obtained data on patients with TC who met the inclusion criteria between 2004 and 2016 (with additional treatment fields) in the Surveillance Epidemiology, and End Results database. The cumulative incidence function and Gray’s test were used for univariate analysis, followed by the fine-Gray and Cox proportional hazards models for multivariate analysis. Of the 478 subjects with TC who were finally included, 284 (170 died from TC, and 114 died from other causes) (59.41%) died, and 194 (40.59%) patients were alive. Univariate Gray’s test results indicated that age, marital status, tumor size, summary stage (localized, regional, or distant), chemotherapy status, and surgery status significantly affected the cumulative incidence of the target event (P < 0.05). Multivariate competing risk analyses indicated that tumor size, marital status, summary stage, and surgery status were independent risk factors for the prediction of subjects (P < 0.05). This study explored a more accurate method to assess the prognostic factors of patients with TC. Our findings can contribute to the clinical development of more scientific and accurate treatment methods, providing benefits to the majority of patients with TC.

Published in Cancer Research Journal (Volume 11, Issue 2)
DOI 10.11648/j.crj.20231102.13
Page(s) 49-58
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Thymic Carcinoma, Competing-Risks Model, SEER, Fine-Gray Model, Cause-Specific Model

References
[1] D. Alqaidy, and C. A. Moran, Thymic Carcinoma: A Review. Frontiers in oncology 12 (2022) 808019.
[2] A. C. Roden, U. Ahmad, G. Cardillo, N. Girard, D. Jain, E. M. Marom, A. Marx, A. L. Moreira, A. G. Nicholson, A. Rajan, A. F. Shepherd, C. B. Simone, 2nd, C. D. Strange, M. Szolkowska, M. T. Truong, and A. Rimner, Thymic Carcinomas-A Concise Multidisciplinary Update on Recent Developments From the Thymic Carcinoma Working Group of the International Thymic Malignancy Interest Group. Journal of thoracic oncology: official publication of the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer 17 (2022) 637-650..
[3] W. H. Organization, WHO Classification of Tumours of the Lung, Plura, Thymus and Heart. (2014).
[4] W. Wang, J. Y. Xu, B. T. Zhang, and J. Jiang, Ectopic Thymic Carcinoma Located on The Dorsal Side of The Thyroid Gland. Ear, nose, & throat journal (2022) 1455613221145287.
[5] K. Kondo, and Y. J. A. o. T. S. Monden, Therapy for thymic epithelial tumors: a clinical study of 1,320 patients from Japan. 76 (2003) 878-884.
[6] W. Jong, J. Blaauwgeers, M. Schaapveld, W. Timens, T. J. Klinkenberg, and H. J. E. J. o. C. Groen, Thymic epithelial tumours: a population-based study of the incidence, diagnostic procedures and therapy. 44 (2008) 123-130.
[7] E. A. Engels, and R. M. J. I. J. o. C. Pfeiffer, Malignant thymoma in the United States: Demographic patterns in incidence and associations with subsequent malignancies. 105 (2003) 546-551.
[8] M. Shapiro, and R. J. Korst, Surgical Approaches for Stage IVA Thymic Epithelial Tumors. Frontiers in oncology 3 (2014) 332.
[9] R. J. Kelly, I. Petrini, A. Rajan, Y. Wang, and G. J. J. o. C. O. Giaccone, Thymic malignancies: from clinical management to targeted therapies. 29 (2011) 4820-4827.
[10] T. Utsumi, H. Shiono, Y. Kadota, A. Matsumura, H. Maeda, M. Ohta, Y. Yoshioka, M. Koizumi, T. Inoue, and M. J. C. Okumura, Postoperative radiation therapy after complete resection of thymoma has little impact on survival. 115 (2010) 5413-5420.
[11] M. Yano, H. Sasaki, T. Yokoyama, H. Yukiue, O. Kawano, S. Suzuki, and Y. J. J. o. t. o. o. p. o. t. I. A. f. t. S. o. L. C. Fujii, Thymic carcinoma: 30 cases at a single institution. 3 (2008) 265-269.
[12] J. Kashima, T. Hishima, Y. Okuma, H. Horio, M. Ogawa, Y. Hayashi, S. I. Horiguchi, T. Motoi, T. Ushiku, and M. Fukayama, CD70 in Thymic Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Potential Diagnostic Markers and Immunotherapeutic Targets. Frontiers in oncology 11 (2021) 808396.
[13] P. Loap, V. Vitolo, A. Barcellini, L. De Marzi, A. Mirandola, M. R. Fiore, B. Vischioni, B. A. Jereczek-Fossa, N. Girard, Y. Kirova, and E. Orlandi, Hadrontherapy for Thymic Epithelial Tumors: Implementation in Clinical Practice. Frontiers in oncology 11 (2021) 738320.
[14] P. J. J. o. C. O. O. J. o. t. A. S. o. C. O. Periman, Suicide among cancer patients. 16 (1998) 2292.
[15] N. Zaorsky, T. Churilla, B. Egleston, S. Fisher, J. Ridge, E. Horwitz, and J. M. J. A. o. O. O. J. o. t. E. S. f. M. O. Md, Causes of death among cancer patients. (2016) mdw604.
[16] S. R. C. Bryan Lau, and S. J. G. J. A. j. o. epidemiology, Competing Risk Regression Models for Epidemiologic Data. 170 (2009) 244-256.
[17] P. C. Austin, D. S. Lee, and J. P. J. C. Fine, Introduction to the Analysis of Survival Data in the Presence of Competing Risks. 133 (2016) 601.
[18] P. K. Andersen, and M. P. J. L. D. A. Perme, Inference for outcome probabilities in multi-state models. 14 (2008) 405-431.
[19] R. Varadhan, C. O. Weiss, J. B. Segal, A. W. Wu, and C. J. M. C. Boyd, Evaluating health outcomes in the presence of competing risks: a review of statistical methods and clinical applications. 48 (2010) 96-105.
[20] S. D. Berry, N. Long, E. J. Samelson, and D. P. J. J. o. t. A. G. S. Kiel, Competing Risk of Death: An Important Consideration in Studies of Older Adults. 58 (2010) 783-787.
[21] H. Putter, M. Fiocco, and R. B. J. S. i. M. Geskus, Tutorial in Biostatistics: Competing Risks and Multi-State Models. 26 (2007) 2389-2430.
[22] M. Horner, L. Ries, M. Krapcho, N. Neyman, and R. Aminou, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. (2011).
[23] W. T. Wu, Y. J. Li, A. Z. Feng, L. Li, T. Huang, A. D. Xu, and J. J. M. M. R. Lyu, Data mining in clinical big data: the frequently used databases, steps, and methodological models. (2021).
[24] J. Yang, Y. Li, Q. Liu, L. Li, and J. J. J. o. E.-B. M. Lyu, Brief introduction of medical database and data mining technology in big data era. 13 (2020).
[25] Li Y, Sun L, Burstein DS, Getz KD. Considerations of Competing Risks Analysis in Cardio-Oncology Studies: JACC: CardioOncology State-of-the-Art Review. JACC CardioOncol. 2022 Sep 20; 4 (3): 287-301.
[26] B. Haller, G. Schmidt, and K. J. L. D. A. Ulm, Applying competing risks regression models: an overview. 19 (2013) 33-58.
[27] Austin, C. Peter, Fine, and P. Jason, Practical recommendations for reporting Fine-Gray model analyses for competing risk data.
[28] Yang J, Gong Y, Yan S, Zhu J, Li Z, Gong R. Risk factors for level V lymph node metastases in solitary papillary thyroid carcinoma with clinically lateral lymph node metastases. Cancer Med. 2016 Aug; 5 (8): 2161-8.
[29] Engels, and A. J. J. o. T. O. Eric, Epidemiology of Thymoma and Associated Malignancies. 5 (2010) S260-S265.
[30] F. Venuta, M. Anile, D. Diso, D. Vitolo, E. A. Rendina, T. D. Giacomo, F. Francioni, and G. F. J. A. J. o. S. P. Coloni, Thymoma and thymic carcinoma. 37 (2010) 13-25.
[31] J. Wu, Z. Wang, C. Jing, Y. Hu, and Y. J. M. Hu, The incidence and prognosis of thymic squamous cell carcinoma: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program population-based study. 100 (2021) e25331.
[32] B. Weksler, R. Dhupar, V. Parikh, K. S. Nason, A. Pennathur, and P. F. J. A. o. T. S. Ferson, Thymic Carcinoma: A Multivariate Analysis of Factors Predictive of Survival in 290 Patients. 95 (2013).
[33] U. Ahmad, X. Yao, F. Detterbeck, J. Huang, A. Antonicelli, P. L. Filosso, E. Ruffini, W. Travis, D. R. Jones, Y. J. J. o. T. Zhan, and C. Surgery, Thymic carcinoma outcomes and prognosis: Results of an international analysis. 149 (2014) 95-101. e102.
[34] P. L. Filosso, X. Yao, U. Ahmad, Y. Zhan, J. Huang, E. Ruffini, W. Travis, M. Lucchi, A. Rimner, A. Antonicelli, F. Guerrera, and F. Detterbeck, Outcome of primary neuroendocrine tumors of the thymus: a joint analysis of the International Thymic Malignancy Interest Group and the European Society of Thoracic Surgeons databases. The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery 149 (2015) 103-109. e102.
[35] K. Kaira, H. Imai, O. Yamaguchi, A. Mouri, and H. Kagamu, Salvage Chemotherapy in Patients with Previously Treated Thymic Carcinoma. Cancers 13 (2021).
[36] C. Ye, M. Bao, H. Li, X. Liu, and W. J. J. o. T. D. Wang, Surgery in Masaoka stage IV thymic carcinoma: a propensity-matched study based on the SEER database. 12 (2020) 659-671.
[37] M. T. Koller, H. Raatz, E. W. Steyerberg, and M. J. S. i. M. Wolbers, Competing risks and the clinical community: irrelevance or ignorance? 31 (2012).
Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Kwok Keung Yim, Yishou Deng. (2023). Competitive Risk Analysis of Thymic Carcinoma Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database. Cancer Research Journal, 11(2), 49-58. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.crj.20231102.13

    Copy | Download

    ACS Style

    Kwok Keung Yim; Yishou Deng. Competitive Risk Analysis of Thymic Carcinoma Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database. Cancer Res. J. 2023, 11(2), 49-58. doi: 10.11648/j.crj.20231102.13

    Copy | Download

    AMA Style

    Kwok Keung Yim, Yishou Deng. Competitive Risk Analysis of Thymic Carcinoma Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database. Cancer Res J. 2023;11(2):49-58. doi: 10.11648/j.crj.20231102.13

    Copy | Download

  • @article{10.11648/j.crj.20231102.13,
      author = {Kwok Keung Yim and Yishou Deng},
      title = {Competitive Risk Analysis of Thymic Carcinoma Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database},
      journal = {Cancer Research Journal},
      volume = {11},
      number = {2},
      pages = {49-58},
      doi = {10.11648/j.crj.20231102.13},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.crj.20231102.13},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.crj.20231102.13},
      abstract = {In general, we use the classical Cox proportional hazards model to derive factors that affect the prediction of patients diagnosed with thymic carcinoma (TC); however, when competing risks exist, the results can be biased. This study aimed to build a competing risk model for patients with TC to explore a more accurate method for assessing the relevant factors affecting patient prognosis. We obtained data on patients with TC who met the inclusion criteria between 2004 and 2016 (with additional treatment fields) in the Surveillance Epidemiology, and End Results database. The cumulative incidence function and Gray’s test were used for univariate analysis, followed by the fine-Gray and Cox proportional hazards models for multivariate analysis. Of the 478 subjects with TC who were finally included, 284 (170 died from TC, and 114 died from other causes) (59.41%) died, and 194 (40.59%) patients were alive. Univariate Gray’s test results indicated that age, marital status, tumor size, summary stage (localized, regional, or distant), chemotherapy status, and surgery status significantly affected the cumulative incidence of the target event (P < 0.05). Multivariate competing risk analyses indicated that tumor size, marital status, summary stage, and surgery status were independent risk factors for the prediction of subjects (P < 0.05). This study explored a more accurate method to assess the prognostic factors of patients with TC. Our findings can contribute to the clinical development of more scientific and accurate treatment methods, providing benefits to the majority of patients with TC.},
     year = {2023}
    }
    

    Copy | Download

  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Competitive Risk Analysis of Thymic Carcinoma Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database
    AU  - Kwok Keung Yim
    AU  - Yishou Deng
    Y1  - 2023/05/24
    PY  - 2023
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.crj.20231102.13
    DO  - 10.11648/j.crj.20231102.13
    T2  - Cancer Research Journal
    JF  - Cancer Research Journal
    JO  - Cancer Research Journal
    SP  - 49
    EP  - 58
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2330-8214
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.crj.20231102.13
    AB  - In general, we use the classical Cox proportional hazards model to derive factors that affect the prediction of patients diagnosed with thymic carcinoma (TC); however, when competing risks exist, the results can be biased. This study aimed to build a competing risk model for patients with TC to explore a more accurate method for assessing the relevant factors affecting patient prognosis. We obtained data on patients with TC who met the inclusion criteria between 2004 and 2016 (with additional treatment fields) in the Surveillance Epidemiology, and End Results database. The cumulative incidence function and Gray’s test were used for univariate analysis, followed by the fine-Gray and Cox proportional hazards models for multivariate analysis. Of the 478 subjects with TC who were finally included, 284 (170 died from TC, and 114 died from other causes) (59.41%) died, and 194 (40.59%) patients were alive. Univariate Gray’s test results indicated that age, marital status, tumor size, summary stage (localized, regional, or distant), chemotherapy status, and surgery status significantly affected the cumulative incidence of the target event (P < 0.05). Multivariate competing risk analyses indicated that tumor size, marital status, summary stage, and surgery status were independent risk factors for the prediction of subjects (P < 0.05). This study explored a more accurate method to assess the prognostic factors of patients with TC. Our findings can contribute to the clinical development of more scientific and accurate treatment methods, providing benefits to the majority of patients with TC.
    VL  - 11
    IS  - 2
    ER  - 

    Copy | Download

Author Information
  • Department of Rehabilitation, the First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China

  • Department of Rehabilitation, the First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China

  • Sections