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The Effect of Climate Change on Wheat and Maize Crops in Egypt

Received: 6 June 2023    Accepted: 25 June 2023    Published: 11 July 2023
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Abstract

The research aimed to identify the development of each of the maximum and minimum temperature and relative humidity of the winter and summer seasons in Egypt and their stability during the period (2000-2021), and the extent of the impact of this development on the feddan productivity of wheat and maize crops in Egypt, and the consequent economic effects. Among the results, the productivity of a feddan of wheat crop decreased by 0.05 tons, with an increase in the maximum temperature in the winter season by one degree Celsius, The productivity of a feddan of the wheat crop decreased by 0.06 tons, with an increase in the minimum temperature in the winter season by one degree Celsius, It also showed a decrease in productivity, The feddan of the wheat crop increased by 0.02 tons, with an increase in relative humidity in the winter season by 1%. The results also showed a decrease in the productivity of the feddan of the maize crop by 0.06 tons, with an increase in the maximum temperature in the summer season by one degree Celsius, and the productivity of the feddan crop decreased. maize by 0.05 tons, with an increase in the minimum temperature in the summer season by one degree Celsius. It also showed a decrease in the productivity of a feddan of maize crop by 0.03 tons, with an increase in relative humidity in the summer season by 1%. The study recommended an increase in spending on agricultural research to develop cultivars. New crops that are able to adapt to climate changes, the Agricultural Extension Agency raises the level of awareness of wheat and maize farmers in order to take the necessary measures to confront climate changes by holding training courses for them, and reconsider changing the planting dates of the two crops in proportion to providing them with climatic needs.

Published in International Journal of Agricultural Economics (Volume 8, Issue 4)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijae.20230804.12
Page(s) 133-145
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Maximum Temperature, Minimum Temperature, Relative Humidity, Winter Season, Summer Season, Coefficient of Instability, Ivanov Evaporation Equation

References
[1] Abdel-Zaher, Basma Kamal & Ragab, Mosaad Al-Saeed & Nasr, Mamdouh Madbouly & Selim, Thana Al-Nubi Ahmed (2019). The Impact of Climate Change on the Production of Some Field Crops, Journal of the Association of Arab Universities for Agricultural Sciences, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt, Volume 27 (5), pp. 2417-2427.
[2] Abdel Zaher, Nada Ashour (2015). Climate Change and its Effects on Egypt, Assiut Journal of Environmental Studies, Center for Environmental Studies and Research, Assiut University, Egypt, Issue (41), January, pp. 11-36.
[3] Al-Fran, Mohamed Ahmed (2014). The Impact of Climate Change on Egyptian Food Security, Journal of Annals of Agricultural Sciences in Moshtohor, Faculty of Agriculture in Moshtohor, Benha University, Egypt, Vol. 52 (3), pp. 379-391.
[4] Al-Ghadbawi, Iman Radhi Mohsen & Al-Saeedi, Ali Ghalis Nahi (2021). The effect of climate on the cultivation of vegetable crops in Maysan, Maysan Research Journal, College of Education, University of Maysan, Iraq, Volume 17 (34), pp. 1-30.
[5] Al-Janabi, Hamid Rajab. Lecture on the concept of evaporation / transpiration and the factors affecting it and methods of measurement, Department of Geography, College of Arts, University of Anbar, Iraq.
[6] Al-Miqdad, Ahmed Jadallah (2015). Lecture on Climate Change and its Impact on the Agricultural Sector, Training Course entitled Climate Change and its Impact on Agriculture, Lattakia Research Center, General Authority for Scientific Agricultural Research, Syria, May 24-28.
[7] Alwan, Qais Hassan (2000). Determining the most important factors affecting supply response to the wheat crop in Irbid Governorate, Master Thesis, College of Graduate Studies, University of Jordan, Jordan, pp. 1-148.
[8] Fahim, Mohamed Ali & Tolba, Rania Abdullah Al-Saeed (2021). Econometric analysis of the effect of some factors related to climate change on the Egyptian food production index, Egyptian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Egyptian Society of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 31 (4), December, pp. 1199-1208.
[9] Faraj, Rasha Mohamed Ahmed (2022). An Analytical Study of the Response of the Onion Crop to Climate Change in Egypt, Egyptian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Egyptian Association of Agricultural Economics, Volume 32 (4), December, pp. 1189-1201.
[10] Fathallah, Ahmed Kamal Ahmed & Qadous, Iman Farid & Morsi, Bahaa El Din Mohamed (2022). The effect of climate changes (temperature, humidity, and rainfall) on some strategic crops in Egypt (1997-2020), The Egyptian Journal of Agricultural Economics, The Egyptian Association of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 32 (2): pp. 652-667.
[11] Ghouli, Janan Sakr Abd Azouz Al-Qara (2018). The effect of climate on the cultivation of leguminous crops in Erbil Governorate - a study in applied climate, Al-Ustad Journal for Human and Social Sciences, College of Education for Human Sciences - Ibn Rushd, University of Baghdad, Iraq, No. 226 (2): pp. 333-354.
[12] Ibrahim, Nevin Faraj Ibrahim (2022). Climate Change and Food Security in Egypt, Scientific Journal of Economics and Trade, Faculty of Commerce, Ain Shams University, Egypt, Volume 52 (1), April, pp. 221-262.
[13] Khalil, Hanan Shawqi Mohamed & Sharif, Shireen & Al-Saifi, Al-Hussein Abdel-Latif & Shihab, Sameh Mohamed Hassan (2018). Measuring the effect of changing climatic factors on the wheat crop in Egypt, The New Journal of Agricultural Research, Faculty of Agriculture, Saba Pasha, Alexandria, Egypt, Volume 23 (3), pp. 256-268.
[14] Mahmoud, Aya Mohamed Fahmy & Al-Baghdadi, Mohamed Al-Tabei & Al-Ashry, Mohamed Khairy & Shams, Sami Al-Sayed (2021). Economic Impacts of Environmental and Climate Changes on the Performance of the Egyptian Agricultural Sector, Journal of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Suez Canal University, Ismailia, Egypt, Volume 7 (1), pp. 43-50.
[15] Ministry of Agriculture and Agricultural Reclamation, Central Administration of Agricultural Economics, Bulletin of Agricultural Statistics, Bulletin of Water Resources, Bulletin of Cost and Net Yield Statistics, sporadic issues, and records of the Statistics Department, 2022.
[16] Qadous, Iman Farid Amin (2022). An analytical study of the competitive position of Egyptian tomatoes in the most important global markets using the gravity model of international trade, The Egyptian Journal of Agricultural Economics, The Egyptian Association of Agricultural Economics, Volume 32 (1): pp. 215-232.
[17] Reda, Shahira Mohamed & Mostafa, Ghada Abdel Fattah & Zaki, Essam Mohamed (2016). The economic impact of expected climate changes on the most important vegetable crops in Egypt, Egyptian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Egyptian Society of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 26 (2b), June: 1193-1214.
[18] Shaar, Samira & Abdullah, Ehab (2022). Finding a mathematical model for calculating transpiration - reference evapotranspiration (middle part of the Orontes Basin), Hama University Journal, University of Hama, Syria, Volume 5 (20), pp. 18-31.
[19] Siam, Gamal Mohamed & Ahmed, Yousry Nasr & Sabah, Shaima Helmy (2022). The potential economic effects of climate change on grain yields using the International Model for the Analysis of Agricultural Commodity and Trade Policies, International Journal of Public Policies in Egypt, Information and Decision Support Center, Egypt, Volume 1 (3), July, pp. 12-25.
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Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Ahmed Mahmoud Abd El-Aziz, Aml Ahmed Swefy, Mohamed Refaat Mohamed. (2023). The Effect of Climate Change on Wheat and Maize Crops in Egypt. International Journal of Agricultural Economics, 8(4), 133-145. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20230804.12

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    ACS Style

    Ahmed Mahmoud Abd El-Aziz; Aml Ahmed Swefy; Mohamed Refaat Mohamed. The Effect of Climate Change on Wheat and Maize Crops in Egypt. Int. J. Agric. Econ. 2023, 8(4), 133-145. doi: 10.11648/j.ijae.20230804.12

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    AMA Style

    Ahmed Mahmoud Abd El-Aziz, Aml Ahmed Swefy, Mohamed Refaat Mohamed. The Effect of Climate Change on Wheat and Maize Crops in Egypt. Int J Agric Econ. 2023;8(4):133-145. doi: 10.11648/j.ijae.20230804.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijae.20230804.12,
      author = {Ahmed Mahmoud Abd El-Aziz and Aml Ahmed Swefy and Mohamed Refaat Mohamed},
      title = {The Effect of Climate Change on Wheat and Maize Crops in Egypt},
      journal = {International Journal of Agricultural Economics},
      volume = {8},
      number = {4},
      pages = {133-145},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijae.20230804.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20230804.12},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijae.20230804.12},
      abstract = {The research aimed to identify the development of each of the maximum and minimum temperature and relative humidity of the winter and summer seasons in Egypt and their stability during the period (2000-2021), and the extent of the impact of this development on the feddan productivity of wheat and maize crops in Egypt, and the consequent economic effects. Among the results, the productivity of a feddan of wheat crop decreased by 0.05 tons, with an increase in the maximum temperature in the winter season by one degree Celsius, The productivity of a feddan of the wheat crop decreased by 0.06 tons, with an increase in the minimum temperature in the winter season by one degree Celsius, It also showed a decrease in productivity, The feddan of the wheat crop increased by 0.02 tons, with an increase in relative humidity in the winter season by 1%. The results also showed a decrease in the productivity of the feddan of the maize crop by 0.06 tons, with an increase in the maximum temperature in the summer season by one degree Celsius, and the productivity of the feddan crop decreased. maize by 0.05 tons, with an increase in the minimum temperature in the summer season by one degree Celsius. It also showed a decrease in the productivity of a feddan of maize crop by 0.03 tons, with an increase in relative humidity in the summer season by 1%. The study recommended an increase in spending on agricultural research to develop cultivars. New crops that are able to adapt to climate changes, the Agricultural Extension Agency raises the level of awareness of wheat and maize farmers in order to take the necessary measures to confront climate changes by holding training courses for them, and reconsider changing the planting dates of the two crops in proportion to providing them with climatic needs.},
     year = {2023}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - The Effect of Climate Change on Wheat and Maize Crops in Egypt
    AU  - Ahmed Mahmoud Abd El-Aziz
    AU  - Aml Ahmed Swefy
    AU  - Mohamed Refaat Mohamed
    Y1  - 2023/07/11
    PY  - 2023
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20230804.12
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijae.20230804.12
    T2  - International Journal of Agricultural Economics
    JF  - International Journal of Agricultural Economics
    JO  - International Journal of Agricultural Economics
    SP  - 133
    EP  - 145
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2575-3843
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijae.20230804.12
    AB  - The research aimed to identify the development of each of the maximum and minimum temperature and relative humidity of the winter and summer seasons in Egypt and their stability during the period (2000-2021), and the extent of the impact of this development on the feddan productivity of wheat and maize crops in Egypt, and the consequent economic effects. Among the results, the productivity of a feddan of wheat crop decreased by 0.05 tons, with an increase in the maximum temperature in the winter season by one degree Celsius, The productivity of a feddan of the wheat crop decreased by 0.06 tons, with an increase in the minimum temperature in the winter season by one degree Celsius, It also showed a decrease in productivity, The feddan of the wheat crop increased by 0.02 tons, with an increase in relative humidity in the winter season by 1%. The results also showed a decrease in the productivity of the feddan of the maize crop by 0.06 tons, with an increase in the maximum temperature in the summer season by one degree Celsius, and the productivity of the feddan crop decreased. maize by 0.05 tons, with an increase in the minimum temperature in the summer season by one degree Celsius. It also showed a decrease in the productivity of a feddan of maize crop by 0.03 tons, with an increase in relative humidity in the summer season by 1%. The study recommended an increase in spending on agricultural research to develop cultivars. New crops that are able to adapt to climate changes, the Agricultural Extension Agency raises the level of awareness of wheat and maize farmers in order to take the necessary measures to confront climate changes by holding training courses for them, and reconsider changing the planting dates of the two crops in proportion to providing them with climatic needs.
    VL  - 8
    IS  - 4
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Agricultural Research Centre, Giza, Egypt

  • Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Agricultural Research Centre, Giza, Egypt

  • Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Agricultural Research Centre, Giza, Egypt

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