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Gold Demand Determinants and Reserve Building Capacity of the Nigerian Economy: Inputs from a Panel Analysis of Selected Countries

Received: 19 July 2021    Accepted: 2 August 2021    Published: 19 February 2022
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Abstract

Over the years, gold has showed some promises in performing the role of value preservation for the holders and as a result helping countries in stabilizing their reserves. For this reason, several countries still maintain part of their reserves in gold, even though gold was officially de-pegged from countries’ currencies after the collapse of the Bretton woods system. In this study, we employed panel data regression model to examine the determinants of demand for gold by countries. The result showed a positive relationship between the demand for gold and the price of gold, exchange rate, foreign direct investment, and private credit to GDP. It revealed that trade openness and inflation rate had a negative relationship with the demand for gold. Also, it was revealed that the price of gold had a positive relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves both in the short run and in the long run. On the other hand, while exchange rate had a positive relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves in the short run it exerts a negative relationship in the long run. Also trade openness and GDP growth rate had a negative relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves both in the short-run and in the long run. But inflation rate had a negative relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves in the long run. Based on these findings, the study recommends that Nigerian government should adopt a pro-active measure in strengthening and enhancing the total reserve base of the economy by including gold as a safe and hedging asset in the reserve portfolio, thereby enhancing the performance and resilience of our total reserves in the face of economic and financial downturns.

Published in Journal of World Economic Research (Volume 11, Issue 1)
DOI 10.11648/j.jwer.20221101.14
Page(s) 27-44
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Gold Reserves, Demand for Gold, External Reserves, Price, Exchange Rate

References
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  • APA Style

    Paul Atanda Orebiyi, Mmeyene-Abasi Essien Archibong. (2022). Gold Demand Determinants and Reserve Building Capacity of the Nigerian Economy: Inputs from a Panel Analysis of Selected Countries. Journal of World Economic Research, 11(1), 27-44. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jwer.20221101.14

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    ACS Style

    Paul Atanda Orebiyi; Mmeyene-Abasi Essien Archibong. Gold Demand Determinants and Reserve Building Capacity of the Nigerian Economy: Inputs from a Panel Analysis of Selected Countries. J. World Econ. Res. 2022, 11(1), 27-44. doi: 10.11648/j.jwer.20221101.14

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    AMA Style

    Paul Atanda Orebiyi, Mmeyene-Abasi Essien Archibong. Gold Demand Determinants and Reserve Building Capacity of the Nigerian Economy: Inputs from a Panel Analysis of Selected Countries. J World Econ Res. 2022;11(1):27-44. doi: 10.11648/j.jwer.20221101.14

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  • @article{10.11648/j.jwer.20221101.14,
      author = {Paul Atanda Orebiyi and Mmeyene-Abasi Essien Archibong},
      title = {Gold Demand Determinants and Reserve Building Capacity of the Nigerian Economy: Inputs from a Panel Analysis of Selected Countries},
      journal = {Journal of World Economic Research},
      volume = {11},
      number = {1},
      pages = {27-44},
      doi = {10.11648/j.jwer.20221101.14},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jwer.20221101.14},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.jwer.20221101.14},
      abstract = {Over the years, gold has showed some promises in performing the role of value preservation for the holders and as a result helping countries in stabilizing their reserves. For this reason, several countries still maintain part of their reserves in gold, even though gold was officially de-pegged from countries’ currencies after the collapse of the Bretton woods system. In this study, we employed panel data regression model to examine the determinants of demand for gold by countries. The result showed a positive relationship between the demand for gold and the price of gold, exchange rate, foreign direct investment, and private credit to GDP. It revealed that trade openness and inflation rate had a negative relationship with the demand for gold. Also, it was revealed that the price of gold had a positive relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves both in the short run and in the long run. On the other hand, while exchange rate had a positive relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves in the short run it exerts a negative relationship in the long run. Also trade openness and GDP growth rate had a negative relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves both in the short-run and in the long run. But inflation rate had a negative relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves in the long run. Based on these findings, the study recommends that Nigerian government should adopt a pro-active measure in strengthening and enhancing the total reserve base of the economy by including gold as a safe and hedging asset in the reserve portfolio, thereby enhancing the performance and resilience of our total reserves in the face of economic and financial downturns.},
     year = {2022}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Gold Demand Determinants and Reserve Building Capacity of the Nigerian Economy: Inputs from a Panel Analysis of Selected Countries
    AU  - Paul Atanda Orebiyi
    AU  - Mmeyene-Abasi Essien Archibong
    Y1  - 2022/02/19
    PY  - 2022
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jwer.20221101.14
    DO  - 10.11648/j.jwer.20221101.14
    T2  - Journal of World Economic Research
    JF  - Journal of World Economic Research
    JO  - Journal of World Economic Research
    SP  - 27
    EP  - 44
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2328-7748
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jwer.20221101.14
    AB  - Over the years, gold has showed some promises in performing the role of value preservation for the holders and as a result helping countries in stabilizing their reserves. For this reason, several countries still maintain part of their reserves in gold, even though gold was officially de-pegged from countries’ currencies after the collapse of the Bretton woods system. In this study, we employed panel data regression model to examine the determinants of demand for gold by countries. The result showed a positive relationship between the demand for gold and the price of gold, exchange rate, foreign direct investment, and private credit to GDP. It revealed that trade openness and inflation rate had a negative relationship with the demand for gold. Also, it was revealed that the price of gold had a positive relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves both in the short run and in the long run. On the other hand, while exchange rate had a positive relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves in the short run it exerts a negative relationship in the long run. Also trade openness and GDP growth rate had a negative relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves both in the short-run and in the long run. But inflation rate had a negative relationship with Nigeria’s total reserves in the long run. Based on these findings, the study recommends that Nigerian government should adopt a pro-active measure in strengthening and enhancing the total reserve base of the economy by including gold as a safe and hedging asset in the reserve portfolio, thereby enhancing the performance and resilience of our total reserves in the face of economic and financial downturns.
    VL  - 11
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Author Information
  • Department of Economics, University of Uyo, Uyo, Nigeria

  • Department of Economics, University of Uyo, Uyo, Nigeria

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