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Monetary Policy and Borrowing Constraint of Housing Market-a Comparative Research Between China and U.S.A.

Received: 10 January 2025     Accepted: 24 March 2025     Published: 17 April 2025
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Abstract

Since 2006, U.S.A. has witnessed the ups and downs of its economy caused by the bubble of the housing market. Due to China’s unique law, only enterprises can use properties as collateral to borrow from banks, resulting in emphasis on borrowing constraint of the enterprises. When housing price can change value of the collateral and borrowing ability of the enterprises, monetary authority is motivated to stabilize the housing price. Studies show that if the Loan to Value ratio (LTV) of the enterprises’ real estate loans is too high, risk would rise due to borrowing constraints. When housing price becomes lower, wrong monetary policy may continue to lower housing prices, causing great damages to enterprises’ balance sheet in recession. We conduct simulation research of China by DSGE (Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium) model in comparison with that of U.S.A., finding that China’s economy is more stable than economy of U.S.A.. One important reason is that the entrepreneurs in China are more constrained than those of USA which results in less risk in the economy. With negative monetary shock, besides markup, other economic variables fall, especially debt and housing price. This means that borrowing constraint is also a financial accelerator. Monetary authority should take into account the borrowing constraint of loans backed by real estate.

Published in International Journal of Finance and Banking Research (Volume 11, Issue 2)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijfbr.20251102.12
Page(s) 37-45
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2025. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Monetary Policy, Housing Price, DSGE Model, Borrowing Constraint of Entrepreneurs

References
[1] Bernanke, B., Gertler, M., Gilchrist, S. The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework. NBER Working Paper Series. 1998, No. 6455.
[2] Bianchi, J., Mendoza, E. G. Optimal time-consistent macroprudential policy. Journal of Political Economy. 2018, 126(2), 588-634.
[3] Camara, S., Sangiacomo, M. Borrowing Constraints in Emerging Markets. 2022: arXiv e-prints,
[4] Chawwa, T. Impact of reserve requirement and Liquidity Coverage Ratio: A DSGE model for Indonesia. Economic Analysis and Policy. 2021, 71, 321-341.
[5] Drechsel, T., Kim, S. Macroprudential policy with earnings-based borrowing constraints. Journal of Monetary Economics. 2024, 103595.
[6] Eric, C. Y. Ng. Housing market dynamics in China: findings from an estimated DSGE Model. Journal of Housing Economics. 2015, 29, 26-40.
[7] Fishman, A., Krausz, Miriam. Adverse selection, endogenous borrowing constraints and firm growth. Economics Letters. 2010, 108(2), 219-221.
[8] He Qing, Qian Zongxin, Guo Junjie. Is real estate driving China’s economic cycle? Economic Research. 2015, 50(12), 41-53(in Chinese).
[9] Iacoviello, M. House prices, borrowing constraint, and monetary policy in the business cycle. American Economic Review. 2005, 95(3), 739-764.
[10] Jappelli, T., Pagano, M. Consumption and Capital Market Imperfections: An International Comparison. American Economic Review 1989; 79(5): 1088-1105.
[11] Kiyotaki, N., Moore, J. Credit Cycles. The Journal of Political Economy. 1997, 105(2): 211-248.
[12] Li Cheng, Wang Bin, Ma Wentao. Asset price, foreign exchange rate volatility and optimal Interest Rate. Economic Research. 2010, 3, 91-103 (in Chinese).
[13] Lian Chen, Ma Yueran. Anatomy of corporate borrowing constraints. The Quarterly Journal of Economics. 2021, 136(1), 229–291 (in Chinese).
[14] Schmitt-Grohe, S., Uribe, M. Optimal simple and implementable monetary and fiscal rules. Journal of Monetary Economics. 2007, 54, 1702-1725.
[15] Wang Ren, Hou Jie, He Xiaobei, Song Hui. Borrowing constraint, heterogeneous production sectors and policy implications: The case of China. International Review of Economics & Finance 2017, 49, 568-581 (in Chinese).
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  • APA Style

    Guimin, H., Lili, M. (2025). Monetary Policy and Borrowing Constraint of Housing Market-a Comparative Research Between China and U.S.A.. International Journal of Finance and Banking Research, 11(2), 37-45. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijfbr.20251102.12

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    ACS Style

    Guimin, H.; Lili, M. Monetary Policy and Borrowing Constraint of Housing Market-a Comparative Research Between China and U.S.A.. Int. J. Finance Bank. Res. 2025, 11(2), 37-45. doi: 10.11648/j.ijfbr.20251102.12

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    AMA Style

    Guimin H, Lili M. Monetary Policy and Borrowing Constraint of Housing Market-a Comparative Research Between China and U.S.A.. Int J Finance Bank Res. 2025;11(2):37-45. doi: 10.11648/j.ijfbr.20251102.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijfbr.20251102.12,
      author = {Han Guimin and Mao Lili},
      title = {Monetary Policy and Borrowing Constraint of Housing Market-a Comparative Research Between China and U.S.A.
    },
      journal = {International Journal of Finance and Banking Research},
      volume = {11},
      number = {2},
      pages = {37-45},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijfbr.20251102.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijfbr.20251102.12},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijfbr.20251102.12},
      abstract = {Since 2006, U.S.A. has witnessed the ups and downs of its economy caused by the bubble of the housing market. Due to China’s unique law, only enterprises can use properties as collateral to borrow from banks, resulting in emphasis on borrowing constraint of the enterprises. When housing price can change value of the collateral and borrowing ability of the enterprises, monetary authority is motivated to stabilize the housing price. Studies show that if the Loan to Value ratio (LTV) of the enterprises’ real estate loans is too high, risk would rise due to borrowing constraints. When housing price becomes lower, wrong monetary policy may continue to lower housing prices, causing great damages to enterprises’ balance sheet in recession. We conduct simulation research of China by DSGE (Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium) model in comparison with that of U.S.A., finding that China’s economy is more stable than economy of U.S.A.. One important reason is that the entrepreneurs in China are more constrained than those of USA which results in less risk in the economy. With negative monetary shock, besides markup, other economic variables fall, especially debt and housing price. This means that borrowing constraint is also a financial accelerator. Monetary authority should take into account the borrowing constraint of loans backed by real estate.
    },
     year = {2025}
    }
    

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    AU  - Mao Lili
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    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijfbr.20251102.12
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    JF  - International Journal of Finance and Banking Research
    JO  - International Journal of Finance and Banking Research
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    SN  - 2472-2278
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijfbr.20251102.12
    AB  - Since 2006, U.S.A. has witnessed the ups and downs of its economy caused by the bubble of the housing market. Due to China’s unique law, only enterprises can use properties as collateral to borrow from banks, resulting in emphasis on borrowing constraint of the enterprises. When housing price can change value of the collateral and borrowing ability of the enterprises, monetary authority is motivated to stabilize the housing price. Studies show that if the Loan to Value ratio (LTV) of the enterprises’ real estate loans is too high, risk would rise due to borrowing constraints. When housing price becomes lower, wrong monetary policy may continue to lower housing prices, causing great damages to enterprises’ balance sheet in recession. We conduct simulation research of China by DSGE (Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium) model in comparison with that of U.S.A., finding that China’s economy is more stable than economy of U.S.A.. One important reason is that the entrepreneurs in China are more constrained than those of USA which results in less risk in the economy. With negative monetary shock, besides markup, other economic variables fall, especially debt and housing price. This means that borrowing constraint is also a financial accelerator. Monetary authority should take into account the borrowing constraint of loans backed by real estate.
    
    VL  - 11
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