Climate change and the conflicts in Darfur have severely impacted crop production, forestry and range land which lead to sever implications in household income, safety, coping strategies, and overall food security. The current study was conducted in three localities in West Darfur State (WDS) during 2019 with aim to asses’ climate change vulnerability by using the NDVI and Aridity Index (AI) and to study the impact of climate change on crop production, forestry and range species in the targeted localities. Three methods were used (1) Remote sensing method (2) Focus group discussion and (3) Key informant interview (KII). According to MODIST and LAND SAT-8 data 87% from El Geneina locality area was classified as non-vulnerable and 13% as slightly vulnerable. Kerenik locality is classified as non- vulnerable to climate changes. 0.5% from the locality area is classified as moderate vulnerable, 13.3% as slightly vulnerable, while 86.2% from the total area was classified as non-vulnerable. For Sirba locality 87.5% of the locality is classified as non-vulnerable, 12.3% as slightly vulnerable and 0.2% as moderately vulnerable. The results from focus group discussion (FGD) and key informant interview showed that the crop production, forest cover and range conditions were highly affected by climate change. The targeted localities experienced drought spells during the periods 84, 85, 86, 85, 2002 and 2018 beside 2003 war. The consequences include; shortage of water, shortage of foods, dust storms, bush fires, crop failure, dead of trees, loss of livestock, food gap, famine and death of children and elder people. In response to the challenges of climate change, households adopted many coping strategies which include: migration to big cities, selling assets, borrowing money, reduce food consumption, requesting social support and use of seeds of grasses and trees as famine foods. The recommendation that suggested by the local communities to improve crop production include; provision of improved seeds, pesticides and fertilizers, mechanization especially intermediate technologies, strengthen ofagricultural extension. For forestry sector the recommendation include; establishment of village nurseries and community forestry, shelter belts and wind breaks, provision of improved stoves and solar energy. For range and forage sector the recommendation include; planting and protecting of fodder trees, seed broadcasting, provision of veterinary services and capacity building in range improvement and management.
| Published in | Science Futures (Volume 1, Issue 1) |
| DOI | 10.11648/j.scif.20250101.22 |
| Page(s) | 101-114 |
| Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2025. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Climate Change, NDVI, Vulnerability, West Darfur, El Geneina, Kerenik, Sirba Localities
| [1] | Abusuwar, A. O., & Daffalla, H. (2016). The role of traditional rainwater harvesting techniques in combating desertification in dry areas of Sudan. International Soil and Water Conservation Research, 4(1), 43-50. |
| [2] | Adam. H. S (2008). Agro climatology, Crop Water Requirement and Water Management. Gezira Printing and Publication Co. Ltd. Wad Medani. Sudan. |
| [3] | Alaaeldein, A. Yousif, Talaat, D. Abdel Magid, Ahmed. Y, Ibrahim (2021). Impacts of Darfur War in Degradation of Natural Forest, IOSR Journal of Agriculture and Veterinary Science (IOSR-JAVS) e-ISSN: 2319-2380, p-ISSN: 2319-2372. Volume 11, Issue 3 Ver. III (March 2018), PP 47-54. |
| [4] | Barhy, A., Mukaratirwa, R., Jalal, R., Farren, F., Ghosh, A. Mohamed, A., AbdAllaElshekh, M., Adam, A., Warrag, A., Warrag, E., Ali, I., Igbokwe, K., Yao, A. and Henry, M. 2024. Geospatial cropland monitoring and crop type mapping of the Gezira irrigation scheme in the Sudan - 2019/20-2023/24 (September to March). Rome, FAO. |
| [5] | Chen, X., et al. (2020). Spatial-temporal variations of NDVI and its response to climate in China from 2001 to 2020. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 32(9), 1547-1567. |
| [6] | FAO (2020). The state of food security and nutrition in the world 2020. Transforming food systems for affordable healthy diets. Food and Agriculture Organization. |
| [7] | FAO (2021). Consultative Meeting for the Southern and Eastern Africa Sub-Regions on the African Union Climate Change Strategy, 28-30 July 2021. |
| [8] | FAO. 2024a. Sudan: Assessment on the impact of floods - DIEM-Impact report, October 2024. Rome. |
| [9] | Folke, C. (2016). Resilience (Republished). Ecology and Society, 21(4), 44. |
| [10] | Gafaar, Abdalla (2011). Forest Plantation and woodlots in Sudan. African forest forum working paper series. |
| [11] | Ghebrezgabher, M. G., et al. (2020). Assessment of NDVI variations in responses to climate change in the Horn of Africa. The Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Sciences, 23(3), 333-343. |
| [12] | Holling, C. S. (1973). Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 4, 1-23. |
| [13] |
IPC (Integrated Food Security Phase Classification). 2023. Sudan: Acute food insecurity situation June 2023 and projections for July−September 2023 and October 2023−February 2024. In IPC. Rome. [Cited 4 November 2024].
https://www.ipcinfo.org/ipc-country-analysis/details-map/en/c/1156504/?iso3=SDN |
| [14] | Kinda, S. R., & Badolo, F. (2019). Does rainfall variability matter for food security in developing countries? Cogent Economics & Finance, 7(1): 1640098 |
| [15] | Kumar, V., Jalal, R., MukhtarHamid, E., Gareeb Alla Abd Alla, M., Warrag, E., AbdAlla, A., Perri, P.T., Mukaratirwa, R., Ghosh, A. & Henry, M. 2023. Geospatial assessment of cultivated cropland extent in the Sudan - July to September 2023. Technical report. Rome, FAO. |
| [16] | Mohmmed, A.; Zhang, K.; Kabenge, M.; Keesstra, S.; Cerdà, A.; Reuben, M.; Elbashier, M. M.; Dalson, T. & Ali, A. A. (2018). Analysis of drought and vulnerability in the North Darfur region of Sudan. Land Degradation & Development, 29(12): 4424-4438. |
| [17] | NAPA, 2016. National Adaptation Plan. Republic of the Sudan, Ministry of Environment and Physical Development, Higher Council for Environment and Natural Resources, Khartoum. |
| [18] | NAPA. 2007. National Adaptation programme of Action. Republic of the Sudan, Ministry of Environment and Physical Development, Higher Council for Environment and Natural Resources, Khartoum. |
| [19] | North Darfur State NAP Committee, 2013. North Darfur State NAP Report on Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation Options and Strategies |
| [20] | Pickson, R.B. & Boateng, E. (2022). Climate change: A friend or foe to food security in Africa? Environment, Development and Sustainability, 24(3):4387-4412 |
| [21] | Sultan, M., Issa, S., Dahy, B., Saleous, N., & Sami, M. (2024). Fifty years of land use and land cover mapping in the United Arab Emirates: A machine learning approach using Landsat satellite data. Frontiers in Earth Science, 12, 1510510. |
| [22] | Ujunwa, A., Okoyeuzu, C., & Kalu, E. U. (2019). Armed conflict and food security in West Africa: Socioeconomic perspective. International Journal of Social Economics, 46(2): 182-198. |
| [23] | UNCEF, 2022. State Profile, West Darfur. |
| [24] | UNEP (2007), Sudan - Post-Conflict Environmental Assessment. Nairobi: United Nations. |
| [25] | Walker, B., Holling, C. S., Carpenter, S. R., & Kinzig, A. (2004). Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social-ecological systems. Ecology and Society, 9(2), 5. |
| [26] | West Darfur State NAP Committee, 2013. West Darfur State NAP Report on Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation Options and Strategies. |
| [27] | Yousif, A. Abdelrahman (2017). Ecological and Social impacts of Darfur war. A case Study Thur Natural Forest - Jabel Marra Central Darfur State - Sudan. M. S.c Thesis, College of Natural Resource and Environmental Studies. |
| [28] | Yousif, A. Abdelrahman. (2023). Forest Crises in Darfur decreasing Afforestation.: |
| [29] | Zakieldeen, SA. 2007. Vulnerability in Sudan. tiempo bulletin 62. Online bulletin at: |
APA Style
Fadul, K. E. M., Elamin, E. T. M., Lazim, A. M. M., Khatir, A. A., Meheissi, B., et al. (2025). Impact of Climate Change Vulnerability on Agriculture, Forestry, Water Resources and Range Land in West Darfur State, Sudan. Science Futures, 1(1), 101-114. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.scif.20250101.22
ACS Style
Fadul, K. E. M.; Elamin, E. T. M.; Lazim, A. M. M.; Khatir, A. A.; Meheissi, B., et al. Impact of Climate Change Vulnerability on Agriculture, Forestry, Water Resources and Range Land in West Darfur State, Sudan. Sci. Futures 2025, 1(1), 101-114. doi: 10.11648/j.scif.20250101.22
@article{10.11648/j.scif.20250101.22,
author = {Kamal ElDin Mohammed Fadul and El Tighani Mirghani Elamin and Ahmed Mohammed Musftafa Lazim and Abdelrahman Ahmed Khatir and Bushra Meheissi and Fadwa Hassan Ibrahim and Dirdiri Hassan Mahmoud and Sona Mohammed Fadul},
title = {Impact of Climate Change Vulnerability on Agriculture, Forestry, Water Resources and Range Land in West Darfur State, Sudan},
journal = {Science Futures},
volume = {1},
number = {1},
pages = {101-114},
doi = {10.11648/j.scif.20250101.22},
url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.scif.20250101.22},
eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.scif.20250101.22},
abstract = {Climate change and the conflicts in Darfur have severely impacted crop production, forestry and range land which lead to sever implications in household income, safety, coping strategies, and overall food security. The current study was conducted in three localities in West Darfur State (WDS) during 2019 with aim to asses’ climate change vulnerability by using the NDVI and Aridity Index (AI) and to study the impact of climate change on crop production, forestry and range species in the targeted localities. Three methods were used (1) Remote sensing method (2) Focus group discussion and (3) Key informant interview (KII). According to MODIST and LAND SAT-8 data 87% from El Geneina locality area was classified as non-vulnerable and 13% as slightly vulnerable. Kerenik locality is classified as non- vulnerable to climate changes. 0.5% from the locality area is classified as moderate vulnerable, 13.3% as slightly vulnerable, while 86.2% from the total area was classified as non-vulnerable. For Sirba locality 87.5% of the locality is classified as non-vulnerable, 12.3% as slightly vulnerable and 0.2% as moderately vulnerable. The results from focus group discussion (FGD) and key informant interview showed that the crop production, forest cover and range conditions were highly affected by climate change. The targeted localities experienced drought spells during the periods 84, 85, 86, 85, 2002 and 2018 beside 2003 war. The consequences include; shortage of water, shortage of foods, dust storms, bush fires, crop failure, dead of trees, loss of livestock, food gap, famine and death of children and elder people. In response to the challenges of climate change, households adopted many coping strategies which include: migration to big cities, selling assets, borrowing money, reduce food consumption, requesting social support and use of seeds of grasses and trees as famine foods. The recommendation that suggested by the local communities to improve crop production include; provision of improved seeds, pesticides and fertilizers, mechanization especially intermediate technologies, strengthen ofagricultural extension. For forestry sector the recommendation include; establishment of village nurseries and community forestry, shelter belts and wind breaks, provision of improved stoves and solar energy. For range and forage sector the recommendation include; planting and protecting of fodder trees, seed broadcasting, provision of veterinary services and capacity building in range improvement and management.},
year = {2025}
}
TY - JOUR T1 - Impact of Climate Change Vulnerability on Agriculture, Forestry, Water Resources and Range Land in West Darfur State, Sudan AU - Kamal ElDin Mohammed Fadul AU - El Tighani Mirghani Elamin AU - Ahmed Mohammed Musftafa Lazim AU - Abdelrahman Ahmed Khatir AU - Bushra Meheissi AU - Fadwa Hassan Ibrahim AU - Dirdiri Hassan Mahmoud AU - Sona Mohammed Fadul Y1 - 2025/12/19 PY - 2025 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.scif.20250101.22 DO - 10.11648/j.scif.20250101.22 T2 - Science Futures JF - Science Futures JO - Science Futures SP - 101 EP - 114 PB - Science Publishing Group UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.scif.20250101.22 AB - Climate change and the conflicts in Darfur have severely impacted crop production, forestry and range land which lead to sever implications in household income, safety, coping strategies, and overall food security. The current study was conducted in three localities in West Darfur State (WDS) during 2019 with aim to asses’ climate change vulnerability by using the NDVI and Aridity Index (AI) and to study the impact of climate change on crop production, forestry and range species in the targeted localities. Three methods were used (1) Remote sensing method (2) Focus group discussion and (3) Key informant interview (KII). According to MODIST and LAND SAT-8 data 87% from El Geneina locality area was classified as non-vulnerable and 13% as slightly vulnerable. Kerenik locality is classified as non- vulnerable to climate changes. 0.5% from the locality area is classified as moderate vulnerable, 13.3% as slightly vulnerable, while 86.2% from the total area was classified as non-vulnerable. For Sirba locality 87.5% of the locality is classified as non-vulnerable, 12.3% as slightly vulnerable and 0.2% as moderately vulnerable. The results from focus group discussion (FGD) and key informant interview showed that the crop production, forest cover and range conditions were highly affected by climate change. The targeted localities experienced drought spells during the periods 84, 85, 86, 85, 2002 and 2018 beside 2003 war. The consequences include; shortage of water, shortage of foods, dust storms, bush fires, crop failure, dead of trees, loss of livestock, food gap, famine and death of children and elder people. In response to the challenges of climate change, households adopted many coping strategies which include: migration to big cities, selling assets, borrowing money, reduce food consumption, requesting social support and use of seeds of grasses and trees as famine foods. The recommendation that suggested by the local communities to improve crop production include; provision of improved seeds, pesticides and fertilizers, mechanization especially intermediate technologies, strengthen ofagricultural extension. For forestry sector the recommendation include; establishment of village nurseries and community forestry, shelter belts and wind breaks, provision of improved stoves and solar energy. For range and forage sector the recommendation include; planting and protecting of fodder trees, seed broadcasting, provision of veterinary services and capacity building in range improvement and management. VL - 1 IS - 1 ER -