Background: Sustaining strict virological suppression is critical for mitigating treatment failure and preventing the emergence of drug-resistance mutations in people living with HIV. This multicenter. retrospective cohort study aimed to identify independent predictors of strict virological suppression (plasma viral load ≤ 20 copies/mL) at 6. 12. and 24 months post-antiretroviral therapy initiation among 334 PLHIV in Côte d’Ivoire. Methods and results: Sociodemographic and bioclinical data were retrieved from medical records across two health facilities between January 2019 and December 2025. Factors associated with strict virological suppression were evaluated using multivariable binary logistic regression analysis (reporting adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals). Diagnostic checks confirmed the absence of multicollinearity (variance inflation factors < 1.2). Strict virological suppression rates were 59.9% at 6 months. 64.4% at 12 months. and 65.0% at 24 months. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that high treatment adherence was the sole factor consistently and independently associated with virological success across all time points. Female sex and the healthcare facility level served as time-dependent independent predictors. Conclusion: Treatment adherence remains the paramount determinant of long-term strict virological suppression. Continuous strengthening of patient education and task-shifting toward primary care facilities are essential to sustain the long-term effectiveness of antiretroviral regimens.
| Published in | Central African Journal of Public Health (Volume 12, Issue 5) |
| DOI | 10.11648/j.cajph.20261205.17 |
| Page(s) | 317-326 |
| Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2026. Published by Science Publishing Group |
HIV/AIDS, Strict Virological Suppression, Treatment Adherence, Côte d’Ivoire
General specifications | Virological suppression at 6 months | Virological suppression at 12 months | Virological suppression at 24 months | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n (%) | Yes n (%) | p-value | Yes n(%) | p-value | Yes n(%) | p-value | |
Total population | 334(100) | 200(59,9) | 215(64,4) | 217(65,0) | |||
Study site | |||||||
PPH | 212(63,5) | 137(64,6) | 0.020 | 147(69,3) | 0.012 | 157(74,1) | < .001 |
USAC | 122(36,5) | 63(51,6) | 68(55,7) | 60(49,2) | |||
Sex | |||||||
Woman | 221(66,2) | 143(64,7) | 0.012 | 153(69,2) | 0.010 | 147(66,5) | 0.408 |
Man | 113(33,8) | 57(50,4) | 62(54,9) | 70(61,9) | |||
Current age of patients | |||||||
[18-30] | 29(8,7) | 17(58,6) | 0.204 | 22(75,9) | 0.056 | 19(65,5) | 0.300 |
[30-40] | 69(20,6) | 43(62,3) | 35(50,7) | 45(65,2) | |||
[40-50] | 107(32,1) | 62(57,9) | 76(71,0) | 72(67,3) | |||
[50-60] | 94(28,1) | 51(54,3) | 60(63,8) | 54(57,4) | |||
≥ 60 | 35(10,5) | 27(77,1) | 22(62,9) | 27(77,1) | |||
Comorbidity | |||||||
No | 245(73,4) | 155(63,3) | 0.036 | 161(65,7) | 0.395 | 168(68,6) | 0.022 |
Yes | 89(26,6) | 45(50,6) | 54(60,7) | 49(55,1) | |||
HIV type | |||||||
HIV 1 | 314(94,0) | 187(59,6) | 0.362 | 202(64,3) | 0.488 | 202(64,3) | 0.748 |
HIV 1+2 | 17(5,1) | 10(58,8) | 10(58,8) | 13(76,5) | |||
HIV 2 | 3(0,9) | 3(100,0) | 3(100) | 2(66,7) | |||
Combination of ARVs | |||||||
TLD | 295(88,3) | 182(61,7) | 0.063 | 194(65,8) | 0.144 | 197(66,8) | 0.057 |
Other | 39(11,7) | 18(46,2) | 21(53,8) | 20(51,3) | |||
Medication adherence | |||||||
No | 61(18,3) | 19(31,1) | < .001 | 21(34,4) | < .001 | 14(23,0) | < .001 |
Yes | 273(81,7) | 181(66,3) | 194(71,1) | 203(74,4) | |||
Adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR) | p-value | 95% Confidence Interval (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|
Study site: | |||
PPH | 1.12 | 0.682 | [0.65 - 1.95] |
USAC | 1 | ||
Age of patients: | |||
[18-30] | 1 | ||
[30-40] | 1.62 | 0.327 | [0.62 - 4.28] |
[40-50] | 1.03 | 0.955 | [0.42 - 2.51] |
[50-60] | 0.99 | 0.997 | [0.403 - 2.47] |
≥ 60 | 2.96 | 0.069 | [0.919 - 9.56] |
Sex: | |||
Woman | 1.96 | 0.009 | [1.185 - 3.23] |
Man | 1 | ||
Combination of ARVs: | |||
TLD | 1.385 | 0.414 | [0.63 - 3.03] |
Other | |||
Treatment adherence: | |||
YES | 4.311 | < .001 | [2.24 - 8.28] |
NO | 1 | ||
Comorbidities: | |||
NO | 1.56 | 0.112 | [0.902 - 2.72] |
Yes | 1 | ||
Note: Odds ratio for “Viral load suppression at 6 months = yes” versus “Viral load suppression at 6 months = no” | |||
Adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR) | p-value | 95% Confidence Interval (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|
Study site: | |||
PPH | 1.54 | 0.125 | [0.89- 2.66] |
USAC | 1 | ||
Age of patients: | |||
[18-30] | 2.04 | 0.228 | [0.64 – 6.47] |
[30-40] | 0.67 | 0.390 | [0.27 – 1.66] |
[40-50] | 1.45 | 0.392 | [0.618 – 3.40] |
[50-60] | 1.09 | 0.849 | [0.46 – 2.56] |
≥ 60 | |||
Sex: | |||
Woman | 2.05 | 0.006 | [1.23 – 3.40] |
Man | 1 | ||
Combination of ARVs: | |||
TLD | 1.06 | 0.892 | [0.47 – 2.38] |
Other | 1 | ||
Medication adherence: | |||
Yes | 3.67 | < .001 | [1.96 – 6.94] |
No | 1 | ||
Note: Odds ratio for ‘Viral load suppression at 12 months = yes’ versus ‘Viral load suppression at 12 months = no’ | |||
Adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR) | p-value | 95% Confidence Interval (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|
Study site: | |||
PPH | 2.04 | 0.012 | [1.17 – 3.57] |
USAC | 1 | ||
Comorbidity: | |||
No | 1.48 | 0.172 | [0.84 – 2.62] |
Yes | |||
Combination of ARVs: | |||
OTHER | 1.19 | 0.668 | [0.53 – 2.73] |
TLD | 1 | ||
Treatment adherence: | |||
YES | 8.33 | < .001 | [4.23 - 16.42] |
NO | |||
Note: Odds ratio for “Viral load suppression at 24 months = yes” versus “Viral load suppression at 24 months = no” | |||
Follow-up time | Independent factor | Reference category | ORa | 95% CI | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 months (M6) | Gender (Female) | Man | 1,96 | [1,18 – 3,23] | 0,009 |
High adherence | No | 4,31 | [2,24 – 8,28] | < 0,001 | |
12 months (M12) | Gender (Female) | Man | 2,05 | [1,23 – 3,40] | 0,006 |
High adherence | No | 3,69 | [1,96 – 6,94] | < 0,001 | |
24 months (M24) | Site (PPH) | USAC | 2,04 | [1,17 – 3,57] | 0,012 |
High adherence | No | 8,33 | [4,23 – 16,42] | < 0,001 | |
PPH is Tertiary care center; High adherence: medication adherence (Yes) | |||||
USAC | Outpatient Care and Counselling Unit |
PMTCT | Program to Prevent Mother-to-Child Transmission |
TLD | Tenofovir Lamivudine Dolutegravir |
PLHIV | People Living with HIV |
ART | Antiretroviral Therapy |
WHO | World Health Organization |
UNAIDS | United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS |
PPH | PneumoPtysiology Hospital |
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APA Style
Odegué, K. D., Money, M., Beudjé, F., Diané, K. M., Dechi, J. R., et al. (2026). Sociodemographic and Bioclinical Determinants of Strict Virological Suppression at 6 12 and 24 Months Among People Living with HIV: A Multicenter Retrospective Study (2019–2025) in Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire. Central African Journal of Public Health, 12(5), 317-326. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.cajph.20261205.17
ACS Style
Odegué, K. D.; Money, M.; Beudjé, F.; Diané, K. M.; Dechi, J. R., et al. Sociodemographic and Bioclinical Determinants of Strict Virological Suppression at 6 12 and 24 Months Among People Living with HIV: A Multicenter Retrospective Study (2019–2025) in Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire. Cent. Afr. J. Public Health 2026, 12(5), 317-326. doi: 10.11648/j.cajph.20261205.17
AMA Style
Odegué KD, Money M, Beudjé F, Diané KM, Dechi JR, et al. Sociodemographic and Bioclinical Determinants of Strict Virological Suppression at 6 12 and 24 Months Among People Living with HIV: A Multicenter Retrospective Study (2019–2025) in Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire. Cent Afr J Public Health. 2026;12(5):317-326. doi: 10.11648/j.cajph.20261205.17
@article{10.11648/j.cajph.20261205.17,
author = {Kpadraux Danielle Odegué and Marcelle Money and Félicité Beudjé and Kouao Maxime Diané and Jean-Jacques Renaud Dechi and Taté Roger Oulahi and Boko Alexandre Kouassi and Arsène Adon and Solange Kakou-Ngazoa and Mireille Dosso},
title = {Sociodemographic and Bioclinical Determinants of Strict Virological Suppression at 6 12 and 24 Months Among People Living with HIV: A Multicenter Retrospective Study (2019–2025) in Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire},
journal = {Central African Journal of Public Health},
volume = {12},
number = {5},
pages = {317-326},
doi = {10.11648/j.cajph.20261205.17},
url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.cajph.20261205.17},
eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.cajph.20261205.17},
abstract = {Background: Sustaining strict virological suppression is critical for mitigating treatment failure and preventing the emergence of drug-resistance mutations in people living with HIV. This multicenter. retrospective cohort study aimed to identify independent predictors of strict virological suppression (plasma viral load ≤ 20 copies/mL) at 6. 12. and 24 months post-antiretroviral therapy initiation among 334 PLHIV in Côte d’Ivoire. Methods and results: Sociodemographic and bioclinical data were retrieved from medical records across two health facilities between January 2019 and December 2025. Factors associated with strict virological suppression were evaluated using multivariable binary logistic regression analysis (reporting adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals). Diagnostic checks confirmed the absence of multicollinearity (variance inflation factors < 1.2). Strict virological suppression rates were 59.9% at 6 months. 64.4% at 12 months. and 65.0% at 24 months. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that high treatment adherence was the sole factor consistently and independently associated with virological success across all time points. Female sex and the healthcare facility level served as time-dependent independent predictors. Conclusion: Treatment adherence remains the paramount determinant of long-term strict virological suppression. Continuous strengthening of patient education and task-shifting toward primary care facilities are essential to sustain the long-term effectiveness of antiretroviral regimens.},
year = {2026}
}
TY - JOUR T1 - Sociodemographic and Bioclinical Determinants of Strict Virological Suppression at 6 12 and 24 Months Among People Living with HIV: A Multicenter Retrospective Study (2019–2025) in Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire AU - Kpadraux Danielle Odegué AU - Marcelle Money AU - Félicité Beudjé AU - Kouao Maxime Diané AU - Jean-Jacques Renaud Dechi AU - Taté Roger Oulahi AU - Boko Alexandre Kouassi AU - Arsène Adon AU - Solange Kakou-Ngazoa AU - Mireille Dosso Y1 - 2026/10/31 PY - 2026 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.cajph.20261205.17 DO - 10.11648/j.cajph.20261205.17 T2 - Central African Journal of Public Health JF - Central African Journal of Public Health JO - Central African Journal of Public Health SP - 317 EP - 326 PB - Science Publishing Group SN - 2575-5781 UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.cajph.20261205.17 AB - Background: Sustaining strict virological suppression is critical for mitigating treatment failure and preventing the emergence of drug-resistance mutations in people living with HIV. This multicenter. retrospective cohort study aimed to identify independent predictors of strict virological suppression (plasma viral load ≤ 20 copies/mL) at 6. 12. and 24 months post-antiretroviral therapy initiation among 334 PLHIV in Côte d’Ivoire. Methods and results: Sociodemographic and bioclinical data were retrieved from medical records across two health facilities between January 2019 and December 2025. Factors associated with strict virological suppression were evaluated using multivariable binary logistic regression analysis (reporting adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals). Diagnostic checks confirmed the absence of multicollinearity (variance inflation factors < 1.2). Strict virological suppression rates were 59.9% at 6 months. 64.4% at 12 months. and 65.0% at 24 months. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that high treatment adherence was the sole factor consistently and independently associated with virological success across all time points. Female sex and the healthcare facility level served as time-dependent independent predictors. Conclusion: Treatment adherence remains the paramount determinant of long-term strict virological suppression. Continuous strengthening of patient education and task-shifting toward primary care facilities are essential to sustain the long-term effectiveness of antiretroviral regimens. VL - 12 IS - 5 ER -